Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.286484 3.916082 4.669531 5.648348 6.902170 8.476412 1.063819e+01
2024-10-06 2.387965 3.139620 4.163848 5.704810 8.044896 11.610140 1.776715e+01
2024-10-13 1.909145 2.657967 3.760467 5.578919 8.669664 14.068002 2.518167e+01
2024-10-20 1.670045 2.437385 3.642922 5.796559 9.849886 17.914085 3.778582e+01
2024-10-27 1.438023 2.172318 3.382772 5.680840 10.368467 20.754070 5.075197e+01
2024-11-03 1.352313 2.120771 3.456414 6.172600 12.259307 27.641065 8.238440e+01
2024-11-10 1.242327 2.006502 3.391889 6.371871 13.601154 34.125952 1.233521e+02
2024-11-17 1.165636 1.936513 3.392310 6.702776 15.411759 43.415376 1.970434e+02
2024-11-24 1.061695 1.800321 3.237586 6.644490 16.182435 50.067322 2.777347e+02
2024-12-01 0.987056 1.708549 3.155689 6.735928 17.439344 59.865157 4.231154e+02
2024-12-08 0.918085 1.618303 3.061182 6.771705 18.560394 70.496383 6.456138e+02
2024-12-15 0.877169 1.578246 3.067970 7.074460 20.756826 89.487202 1.178558e+03
2024-12-22 0.800952 1.467507 2.923203 7.000410 21.892549 106.938338 2.123299e+03
2024-12-29 0.739735 1.382682 2.830130 7.074274 23.833142 135.805758 4.918374e+03
2025-01-05 0.674806 1.280246 2.674727 6.909104 24.683190 159.908385 1.066897e+04
2025-01-12 0.640178 1.239085 2.661804 7.194850 27.940792 219.800342 5.012017e+04
2025-01-19 0.590294 1.157046 2.530078 7.042816 28.914946 261.078218 2.124181e+05
2025-01-26 0.577604 1.158233 2.615996 7.690455 35.129861 422.150419 1.171288e+09
2025-02-02 0.551136 1.123419 2.597976 7.954029 39.457725 604.652797 NaN
2025-02-09 0.532302 1.104374 2.620528 8.393116 45.778015 954.549781 NaN
2025-02-16 0.499967 1.048240 2.526028 8.315649 48.137089 1240.141818 NaN
2025-02-23 0.476078 1.010534 2.480043 8.437200 52.547178 1795.700107 NaN
2025-03-02 0.452428 0.970808 2.421441 8.484794 56.534094 2573.100574 NaN